Arbor Realty Trust Inc

ABR has transitioned from a steep downtrend into an early Stage 1 consolidation, with a Post-Capitulation pattern signaling that selling pressure has exhausted. The medium-term bias is cautiously bullish given the repaired 9/21 EMA regime and base formation, but price has extended above those EMAs without a pullback. We defer entry—stalking for a cleaner retracement into the rising EMA support within the consolidation range.

• ↑$1.1B agency loan originations in Q2, up 30% YTD.
• ↑Planning to resolve $100–150M of delinquent loans soon.
• ↓$1.07B non-performing assets and $525M delinquencies weigh on earnings.