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Applied Materials Inc

Applied Materials Inc

AMAT
$456.49USD+0.55%+2.48 today

MARKET CAP

362.3B

P/E (TTM)

46.8x

FWD P/E

DAY RANGE

$453 – $465

52W RANGE

$164
$740

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

AMAT remains in a Stage 4 distribution phase with persistent lower highs and lower lows below declining EMAs, and although a Bearish Exhaustion pattern at the recent low and OS context hint at a potential bounce, the medium-term bias remains bearish. Execution should be deferred until rallies into the 460–475 EMA resistance zone for structurally favorable sell-side interaction.

  • Q3 FY26 revenue $9.12B (+25% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS $3.50 (+41% YoY).
  • Q4 guidance set at $10.25B revenue (+51% YoY), underscoring robust AI demand.
  • Negative earnings yield and low book-to-price imply overvaluation risk.
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The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) is a leading supplier of equipment, services, and software for the semiconductor manufacturing and display industries. With a dominant market position, Applied Materials focuses on innovations driving AI technologies and advanced packaging solutions, positioning itself favorably within the burgeoning market driven by increasing semiconductor demand essential for AI developments.

Bull says

  • Q3 FY26 revenue $9.12B (+25% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS $3.50 (+41% YoY).
  • Q4 guidance set at $10.25B revenue (+51% YoY), underscoring robust AI demand.
  • Generated $3.04B operating cash flow and returned $860M via dividends and buybacks.
  • Strong profitability and positive momentum factors signal solid earnings revisions and share performance.
  • EPIC Center investment and Broadcom partnership strengthen advanced packaging leadership.
  • Multi-year AI infrastructure growth outlook, with AGS expected to grow >20% in 2026.

Bear says

  • Negative earnings yield and low book-to-price imply overvaluation risk.
  • High valuation multiples could limit upside if capex slows.
  • Customer project delays and capacity saturation may pressuring order flow.
  • Rising input costs and pricing constraints risk margin compression.
  • Geopolitical tensions threaten supply-chain stability and clean-room capacity.
  • Elevated leverage and muted dividend yield could weigh on shareholder returns.

Investment themes with AMAT

Semiconductors +0.10%

Chips powering modern tech and AI growth

NVDA · TSM · AVGO
Quality -0.56%

Companies with strong fundamentals and stability

NVDA · AAPL · MSFT
High Beta -0.84%

Stocks with high volatility relative to market

AMD · DELL · MPWR

Earnings Call · Q4 2023 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 12-29-2024neutral

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