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Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

AMR
$217.73USD↓-4.06%-9.21 today

MARKET CAP

2.8B

P/E (TTM)

—

FWD P/E

26.3x

DAY RANGE

$217 – $225

52W RANGE

$134
$254

AI Summary

Stalk
Buy NowMedium

AMR remains in a Stage 2 advancing regime with its long-term uptrend intact. After a parabolic surge into extreme overbought territory, price is undergoing a healthy retracement toward the rising 9 and 20 EMAs without exhaustion. The medium-term bias stays bullish, and this shallow pullback into key EMAs offers a high-probability refill entry. Under our Speculative strategy, we Buy Now, focusing on acceptance at the EMA zone as confirmation for continuation.

  • ↑Earnings yield of 16% vs peers highlights undervaluation.
  • ↑Anticipated ~12% annual revenue growth from Kingston Wildcat project.
  • ↓Adjusted EBITDA fell to $25.6 M in Q2 from $30 M in Q1.
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The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) is a leading producer of metallurgical coal primarily serving the steel industry globally, with significant operations in the United States. The company is well-positioned in the metallurgical coal supply chain, focusing on production, transportation, and customer service to steel manufacturers, particularly in emerging markets like India and Brazil. AMR is currently navigating through a challenging landscape characterized by fluctuating coal prices and geopolitical pressures affecting operational efficiency.

Bull says

  • ↑Earnings yield of 16% vs peers highlights undervaluation.
  • ↑Anticipated ~12% annual revenue growth from Kingston Wildcat project.
  • ↑Q2 operating cash flow reached $53.2 M after cost reductions.
  • ↑$524 M liquidity cushion supports operations amid price swings.
  • ↑Eligible for $30–50 M in annual tax credits under new legislation.
  • ↑Strong book-to-price ratio and high rate/oil sensitivity boost upside.

Bear says

  • ↓Adjusted EBITDA fell to $25.6 M in Q2 from $30 M in Q1.
  • ↓Q2 shipments declined to 3.5 M tons from 3.6 M tons.
  • ↓Diesel and supply costs drove a $7/ton rise in cost guidance.
  • ↓Profitability metrics remain weak, signalling operational inefficiencies.
  • ↓Low institutional 13F ownership and short interest imply skepticism.
  • ↓Elevated volatility exacerbates downside amid subdued steel demand.

Investment themes with AMR

Coal↑ +1.26%

Coal mining and energy production companies

BHP · BTU · ARLP
Most Shorted Stocks↑ +0.54%

Stocks with highest short interest

LITE · FSLY · SPHR

Earnings Call · Q2 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 08-12-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • Today we announced our Second Quarter financial results, which include adjusted EBITDA of $46.1 million and 3.9 million tons shipped in the quarter, demonstrating strong execution by our team in challenging conditions.
  • I'm pleased to report that we ended the second quarter with $557 million in total liquidity, nearly 15% higher than at the end of the first quarter, with the majority of that growth coming from an increase in our ABL facility.
  • This morning we announced the Board's decision to restart the buyback program on an opportunistic basis, reflecting our commitment to returning value to shareholders.

Bear points

  • Metallurgical coal markets, heavily influenced by depressed steel demand, continue to experience lackluster pricing and, in some cases, further deterioration over the course of the second quarter of 2025.
  • Many economists cite trade uncertainty in their projections of slowing growth for the remainder of 2025 and potentially higher inflation levels as a result.
  • Metallurgical coal markets continue to be challenged with lingering concerns about weak steel demand and lackluster global economic growth expectations.
Read full transcript analysis ›