Lumida
/AVO
⌘K
Mission Produce Inc

Mission Produce Inc

AVO
$13.01USD↓-1.74%-0.23 today

MARKET CAP

1.1B

P/E (TTM)

27.7x

FWD P/E

—

DAY RANGE

$13 – $13

52W RANGE

$10
$16

AI Summary

Stalk
Sell NowMedium

AVO printed a Bullish Exhaustion pattern at a key resistance region, failing to hold a marginal high and triggering rejection at the EMA cluster. With price tracking below the 9/20 EMAs and RSI tilting down from neutral, short-term momentum has cooled. Medium-term directional asymmetry remains bearish until price repairs the structure, while the longer-term uptrend stays intact above the rising 200-day SMA. Execution favors selling now into the nearby resistance zone around the EMA cluster.

  • ↑26% YoY revenue growth to $450 M in Q3 driven by 38% avocado volume increase
  • ↑Calavo deal to deliver $30 M+ in annual cost synergies, up from $25 M target
  • ↓Net loss of $6.5 M drove gross margin down to 9.9% from 12.6%
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Mission Produce, Inc. (NASDAQ: AVO) is a leading supplier of avocados and other fresh produce, recognized for its vertically integrated business model that spans sourcing, distribution, and marketing across international markets, particularly in regions like Mexico, California, and Peru. The company is actively expanding into the prepared foods sector, aiming to enhance product offerings and cater to the growing consumer demand for healthy food options.

Bull says

  • ↑26% YoY revenue growth to $450 M in Q3 driven by 38% avocado volume increase
  • ↑Calavo deal to deliver $30 M+ in annual cost synergies, up from $25 M target
  • ↑Over 1.6 M new U.S. households entered avocado category, boosting long-term demand
  • ↑Q4 adjusted EBITDA guided at $52 M–$55 M, suggesting profit recovery ahead
  • ↑Solid balance-sheet quality and strong liquidity support operations
  • ↑Positive earnings yield and low volatility signal potential upside

Bear says

  • ↓Net loss of $6.5 M drove gross margin down to 9.9% from 12.6%
  • ↓ASPs fell 9% to $1.58 per pound, pressuring revenue per unit
  • ↓Negative profitability and growth metrics signal operational challenges
  • ↓$400 M debt and $25.9 M YTD cash burn raise liquidity risks
  • ↓Integration execution risk may delay or reduce $30 M synergies
  • ↓Market oversupply and rate sensitivity could further constrain pricing

Investment themes with AVO

Food Products↓ -1.01%

ADM · CTVA · KR

Earnings Call · Q3 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 09-09-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • Total revenue for the third quarter of fiscal 2025 increased 10% to $357.7 million, driven by a 10% increase in avocado volume sold.
  • this quarter really showcased why that matters.
  • this quarter successful from an operational and commercial perspective. Our marketing and distribution segment delivered outstanding results, generating $344.1 million in sales and demonstrates the power of our global sourcing and commercial execution capabilities when coupled with our vertically integrated international farming business.

Bear points

  • Pricing is expected to be lower on a year-over-year basis by approximately 20% to 25% as compared to the $1.90 per pound average we experienced in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024.
Read full transcript analysis ›