The case for & against
Bull & Bear analysis
Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C) is a leading global bank with a diverse range of financial services, including investment banking, consumer banking, and treasury and trade solutions. The company operates through multiple segments and has a strong presence in both developed and emerging markets. Citigroup’s recent initiatives, such as the acquisition of Kard Financial and involvement in the Japan-U.S. Strategic Investment Initiative, illustrate its commitment to leveraging technology and enhancing customer engagement, positioning itself to capitalize on the ongoing digital transformation and geopolitical investments.
Bull says
- ↑Q2 revenue $24.77B (+4.7%) and EPS $3.15 (+15.4%) beat consensus.
- ↑Acquisition of Kard Financial deepens commerce media capabilities.
- ↑$4B share buyback authorized; board weighing 12% dividend hike.
- ↑Secured $380B Aegon Asset Mgmt deal; strong institutional backing.
- ↑Favorable interest-rate sensitivity and infrastructure financing boost NII.
- ↑High earnings yield and strong momentum indicate undervaluation.
Bear says
- ↓Guidance for higher investment spending could constrain margins.
- ↓Operational efficiency concerns reflected in weak profitability factors.
- ↓Negative liquidity factors signal short-term funding risks.
- ↓Book-to-price near peers suggests limited valuation upside.
- ↓Muted analyst revisions raise growth sustainability doubts.
- ↓Weak quality and dividend factors limit shareholder return prospects.
Investment themes with C
Companies paying above-average dividends
Companies repurchasing their own shares
Earnings Call · Q3 2023 · Mgmt. Guidance
Transcript signals
Bull points
- We did see an uptick in the reserves. That was really driven by some country rating adjustments that were made.
- In the third quarter, we reported net income of approximately $3.5 billion, EPS of $1.63, and an RoTCE of 7.7% on $20.1 billion of revenues. Excluding divestiture-related impacts, EPS was $1.52, with an RoTCE of 7.2%.
- total revenues increased by 9% on a reported basis and 10% excluding divestiture-related impacts, driven by strength across services, cards and markets as well as modest growth in banking
Bear points
- Average deposits were down 2%, largely driven by Services, as we saw non-operational deposit outflows as expected in light of quantitative tightening.
- Cost of credit was $196 million, including $51 million of net credit loss.
- Our expectation is that as we go into '24, to the point that you've made, depending on the macro environment, we're likely to see this tick up above those pre-COVID normalized rates.