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Ducommun Inc

Ducommun Inc

DCO
$172.73USD+3.34%+5.59 today

MARKET CAP

2.6B

P/E (TTM)

FWD P/E

DAY RANGE

$167 – $173

52W RANGE

$85
$210

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

DCO is in a Stage 4 decline after a decisive break below the EMA9/20 and SMA50, activating mean-reversion patterns and tilting the medium-term bias bearish. Price is oversold near the $165–$160 support zone but lacks a confirmed bullish reversal or RSI divergence. The preferred approach is to trim into rallies up into the EMA9/20/SMA50 cluster around $174–$182 for rejection. A failure below $165 would signal deeper mean reversion toward $150–$140.

  • Q2 revenue reached $224.5M, marking 5th straight quarter above $200M
  • Missile portfolio grew 68% in Q2, driven by PAC-3 contract ramps
  • Negative earnings yield and weak profitability factors deter investors
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Duke Common (NYSE: DCO) is an essential player in the aerospace and defense sectors, focusing on engineered product solutions across commercial and military markets. The company has established a strong foothold in the defense industry, particularly regarding missile systems, while also achieving growth within the commercial aerospace sector through innovative aftermarket retrofits. Operating under its Vision 2027 strategy, Duke Common has demonstrated operational improvement initiatives reflected in robust revenue growth and enhanced margins.

Bull says

  • Q2 revenue reached $224.5M, marking 5th straight quarter above $200M
  • Missile portfolio grew 68% in Q2, driven by PAC-3 contract ramps
  • Gross margin expanded to 28% from 26.4% YoY via operational efficiencies
  • Remaining performance obligations rose to $1.16B, supporting future revenue
  • Management guides mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth for 2026
  • Strong momentum and growth factors suggest further upside potential

Bear says

  • Negative earnings yield and weak profitability factors deter investors
  • High reliance on U.S. defense budgets raises revenue volatility risk
  • Commercial aerospace revenue fell due to lower Boeing production volumes
  • Short interest and institutional skepticism remain elevated
  • Supply chain disruptions from geopolitical tensions could impair delivery
  • Competition in aerospace and defense demands continuous innovation

Investment themes with DCO

Defense -2.59%

Military equipment and defense contractors

BWXT · RKLB · CRS

Earnings Call · Q3 2023 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 01-14-2025neutral

Transcript signals

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