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Forestar Group Inc

Forestar Group Inc

FOR
$26.85USD+1.24%+0.33 today

MARKET CAP

1.4B

P/E (TTM)

8.2x

FWD P/E

DAY RANGE

$27 – $27

52W RANGE

$23
$32

AI Summary

Stalk
Buy NowMedium

FOR exhibits a bearish exhaustion setup at recent lows within a broader downtrend, offering a tactical mean-reversion entry. Medium-term permission is Bullish under extreme oversold conditions and exhaustion signals. Short-term price rejection at the support low favors immediate participation, with execution staged near the exhaustion area targeting a rebound into the short-term EMAs.

  • Q2 revenue $258.24M (+31.9% YoY) beat estimates.
  • EPS $0.82 vs $0.61 consensus highlights margin strength.
  • Stock trades near 2x GF intrinsic value of $57.08.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

FormFactor Inc. (NASDAQ: FOR) is a leading player in the semiconductor manufacturing sector, primarily focusing on test and measurement solutions for advanced semiconductor packaging and characterization. The company operates as a pivotal enabler in the semiconductor value chain, supporting major trends in the industry, such as the increasing demand for smaller and more efficient chips, essential for next-generation technologies in computing, telecommunications, and automotive sectors.

Bull says

  • Q2 revenue $258.24M (+31.9% YoY) beat estimates.
  • EPS $0.82 vs $0.61 consensus highlights margin strength.
  • Analysts raising earnings forecasts, driving positive sentiment.
  • Expanded Keystone Microtech partnership in Taiwan boosts market reach.
  • Dividend yield of 0.50% underscores shareholder return focus.
  • Strong earnings yield and high book-to-price indicate deep value.

Bear says

  • Stock trades near 2x GF intrinsic value of $57.08.
  • Growth prospects weak amid negative revenue expansion trends.
  • Profitability challenges persist, hindering free cash flow conversion.
  • High interest-rate sensitivity may compress future operating margins.
  • Negative size and liquidity trends raise stability concerns.
  • Intense competition from Teradyne and Advantest limits pricing power.

Investment themes with FOR

Housing Shortage +0.40%

Undersupplied housing markets fueling construction investment

HD · LOW · CRH
Residential REITs +0.57%

Stable income from diversified rental housing portfolios

AVB · EQR · ESS

Earnings Call · Q4 2023 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 12-04-2024neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • In the fourth quarter, net income increased 43% to $72.4 million or $1.44 per diluted share compared to $50.8 million or $1.02 per diluted share in the prior year quarter.
  • Revenues for the fourth quarter increased 44% to $549.7 million compared to $381.4 million in the prior year quarter.
  • We will continue to focus on controlling our SG&A costs while ensuring that our infrastructure supports our business.

Bear points

  • For the fiscal year, net income decreased 7% to $166.9 million or $3.33 per diluted share compared to $178.8 million or $3.59 per diluted share in the prior year.
  • During fiscal 2023, lots sold decreased 21% to 14,040 lots with an average sales price of $91,000.
  • Our gross profit margin this quarter was 21%, down 200 basis points sequentially and 240 basis points from a year ago.
Read full transcript analysis ›