The case for & against
Bull & Bear analysis
Fortis Inc. (TSX: FTS) is a leading North American utility company specializing in regulated electric and gas utilities, providing reliable energy services to over 3.4 million customers across Canada and the United States. With a focus on sustainability, Fortis is strategically positioned to benefit from the growing demand for cleaner energy. The company operates through a diversified portfolio of regulated subsidiaries, emphasizing infrastructure investments, customer affordability, and long-term growth amid evolving energy needs and regulatory landscapes.
Bull says
- ↑Q3 adjusted EPS $0.87 driven by regulated utility strength
- ↑Executing $28.8 billion capital plan targeting 7% annual rate-base growth
- ↑Dividend raised 52nd year; 4–6% annual payout growth through 2030
- ↑Approved ROE of 9.5% ensures predictable, stable earnings stream
- ↑High leverage, low volatility suggest strong financial flexibility
- ↑Clean energy investments enhance sustainability and growth positioning
Bear says
- ↓Negative analyst revisions reflect skepticism on future performance
- ↓Profitability challenged as margins tighten amid cost and supply pressures
- ↓Elevated short interest points to bearish investor outlook
- ↓Regulatory delays risk slowing project timelines and revenue growth
- ↓Dependence on external counterparties may postpone capacity expansions
- ↓Low positive factors (33% support) suggest limited upside potential
Earnings Call · Q2 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance
Transcript signals
Bull points
- Today, we are pleased to report another great quarter. With capital expenditures of almost $3 billion during the first half of the year, we are executing on our core objective of delivering safe and reliable energy to our customers.
- Financially, we delivered second quarter earnings per share of 76 cents, a nine cent increase over the same period last year.
- Given this progress, both our annual and five-year capital plans are on track. We are well positioned to deliver on our growth strategy with rate base expected to increase by approximately $14 billion to 53 billion in 2029. This supports average annual rate-based growth of 6.5%.
Bear points
- the timing of operating costs also supported the increase quarter over quarter, but the expiration of a PBR efficiency mechanism and a lower allowed ROE of 8.97% effective January 1, 2025, tempered growth quarter over quarter.
- the expiration of a PBR efficiency mechanism, and a lower allowed ROE of 8.97% effective January 1, 2025, tempered growth quarter over quarter.
- lower margin on wholesale sales due to market conditions tempered earnings at UNS on a year-to-date basis.