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Greenbrier Companies Inc

Greenbrier Companies Inc

GBX
$42.76USD↑+0.00%+0.00 today

MARKET CAP

1.3B

P/E (TTM)

9.2x

FWD P/E

—

DAY RANGE

$42 – $43

52W RANGE

$38
$59

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

GBX is trading in a downtrend below all key EMAs and showing a Bearish Exhaustion inflection at the mid-$40 support zone under extreme-OS conditions. While the long-term trend remains bearish, the medium-term bias shifts bullish on the exhaustion signal and OS bounce potential. Short-term timing remains unfavorable until clear acceptance above declining EMAs. Stalk a buy around the 42.8–43.0 support area, awaiting pullback resolution and confirmation.

  • ↑Earnings yield of 1.36 highlights strong profit generation relative to price.
  • ↑Strong oil sensitivity suggests higher oil costs will boost rail demand.
  • ↓Negative growth outlook raises revenue stagnation risk.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Greenbrier Companies Inc. (NASDAQ: GBX) is a leading player in the rail transportation sector, focusing on manufacturing railcars and providing aftermarket services. As the leading manufacturer of freight cars in North America, the company has built a substantial position within the logistics and transportation value chain. GBX operates in the broader theme of sustainable transportation solutions, particularly as rail continues to be a more eco-friendly alternative for freight transport compared to trucks.

Bull says

  • ↑Earnings yield of 1.36 highlights strong profit generation relative to price.
  • ↑Strong oil sensitivity suggests higher oil costs will boost rail demand.
  • ↑Risk‐reward favorable: projected 10.9% upside versus 0.3% downside.
  • ↑Effective leverage use can enhance returns in an improving market.
  • ↑Positioned to benefit from sustainable transport trends and eco‐policies.
  • ↑High quality metrics underline solid fundamentals amid economic recovery.

Bear says

  • ↓Negative growth outlook raises revenue stagnation risk.
  • ↓Subpar profitability metrics imply tight margins and lower net income.
  • ↓Analyst revisions trending down signal dimmer earnings expectations.
  • ↓Elevated short interest underscores persistent market skepticism.
  • ↓Smaller market scale limits competitive and efficiency advantages.
  • ↓Technical weakness seen as stock tests key support levels.

Investment themes with GBX

High Dividend Yield↑ +0.32%

Companies paying above-average dividends

AVGO · JPM · XOM
Infrastructure Development↑ +0.48%

DE · HWM · TT

Earnings Call · Q3 2024 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 07-02-2025bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • Thanks, Lorie. Greenbrier secured new railcar orders of 6,300 units worth $830 million in the quarter.
  • Backlog is strong at 29,400 units with an estimated value of $3.7 billion and provides significant revenue visibility.
  • Momentum in our international markets continues with about 25% of the orders originating in Europe and Brazil.

Bear points

  • In Q3, we delivered 5,400 railcars, which is down slightly from the prior quarter.
  • A few production line changeovers impacted production rates and ongoing border congestion caused about 100 units to be delayed.
  • Industry forecast for deliveries in 2024 and 2025 are projected to be below the 40,000 unit replacement threshold.
Read full transcript analysis ›