Lumida
/GEO
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Geo Group Inc

Geo Group Inc

GEO
$31.49USD+0.35%+0.11 today

MARKET CAP

4.1B

P/E (TTM)

27.3x

FWD P/E

22.1x

DAY RANGE

$31 – $32

52W RANGE

$13
$33

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

GEO remains in a Stage 2 uptrend with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows supported by rising EMAs. Despite strong momentum, price is in extreme overbought territory and is consolidating with shallow pullbacks into its rising EMAs, reducing immediate execution readiness. The medium-term bias stays bullish, but engagement should be deferred to pullbacks into the 20 EMA or the 50 SMA support zones to align with structural support.

  • Q2 revenue $732.1M (+15% YoY) and net income $47.5M (+63%).
  • Upgraded 2026 guidance: net income $168–175M, adjusted EBITDA $550–560M.
  • New Jersey civil rights probe adds regulatory risk to operations.
Full analysis →
STATEMENT·Income statement
USD · GAAP
METRICFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025TREND
Sales, Adj.$2.3B$2.4B$2.4B$2.4B$2.6B
YoY %-4.0%+5.3%+1.5%+0.4%+8.6%
P / Sales0.4x0.6x0.6x1.5x0.9x
EV / Sales1.8x1.6x1.5x2.5x1.7x
Gross Profit, Adj.$2.3B$2.4B$2.4B$2.4B$2.6B
YoY %-4.0%+5.3%+1.5%+0.4%+8.6%
Margin %100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
EV / Gross Profit1.8x1.6x1.5x2.5x1.7x
EBITDA, Adj.$423.3M$516.9M$478.2M$436.2M$427.1M
YoY %+9.9%+22.1%-7.5%-8.8%-2.1%
Margin %18.8%21.7%19.8%18.0%16.2%
EV / EBITDA9.4x7.4x7.6x13.7x10.6x
EBIT$288.1M$383.9M$352.4M$310.0M$257.5M
YoY %+25.6%+33.3%-8.2%-12.0%-16.9%
Margin %12.8%16.2%14.6%12.8%9.8%
EV / EBIT13.9x9.9x10.3x19.3x17.6x
Net Income$70.4M$142.5M$89.1M$29.9M$254.4M
YoY %-37.7%+102.3%-37.5%-66.5%+751.9%
Net Margin3.1%6.0%3.7%1.2%9.7%
EPS (GAAP)$0.58$1.17$0.72$0.22$1.82
YoY %-38.3%+101.7%-38.5%-69.4%+727.3%