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/KEY
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KeyCorp

KeyCorp

KEY
$21.84USD↑+0.51%+0.11 today

MARKET CAP

23.3B

P/E (TTM)

14.4x

FWD P/E

—

DAY RANGE

$22 – $22

52W RANGE

$16
$24

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

KEY remains in a Stage 1 base with a Bullish Pivot Point mean-reversion signal and OS context. The long-term trend is up, and the medium-term bias is bullish under mean-reversion eligibility, but short-term EMAs remain negative and price is consolidating between the rising 200-day SMA and the 9/20 EMAs. We will look to engage on a confirmed pullback holding near the 200-day SMA region with acceptance above the short EMAs (~21.8–22.0 area). A decisive close below the 200-day SMA with follow-through would invalidate this setup.

  • ↑Q2 EPS rose to $0.44 (+26% YoY) on $1.96 B revenue (+6.7%).
  • ↑$340 M in Q2 buybacks, aiming for over $1.3 B this year.
  • ↓Growth factor is negative, questioning sustainability despite EPS gains.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY) is a leading regional bank headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, offering a comprehensive range of banking and financial services through its KeyBank division. The bank is recognized for its strong commitment to middle-market advisory services, wealth management, and a robust deposit franchise. Positioned favorably in the financial services industry, KeyCorp is actively expanding its footprint through strategic acquisitions and investments aimed at capitalizing on growth opportunities in the evolving economic landscape.

Bull says

  • ↑Q2 EPS rose to $0.44 (+26% YoY) on $1.96 B revenue (+6.7%).
  • ↑$340 M in Q2 buybacks, aiming for over $1.3 B this year.
  • ↑2026 guidance raised: NII, revenues, and loans to grow ~7–8%.
  • ↑Strong middle-market sentiment; Clearwater UK acquisition boosts advisory.
  • ↑High earnings yield, solid book-to-price, manageable leverage, positive dividend yield, rising institutional interest.

Bear says

  • ↓Growth factor is negative, questioning sustainability despite EPS gains.
  • ↓NIM at 2.89% faces margin compression from deposit competition.
  • ↓Non-performing loans climbed to 0.74% of loans, signaling credit risk.
  • ↓Investment banking revenue fell short; high reliance on private equity.
  • ↓Negative profitability revisions and weak momentum factors could damp returns.

Investment themes with KEY

High Dividend Yield↓ -0.51%

Companies paying above-average dividends

AVGO · JPM · XOM
Large Banks↓ -0.26%

MS · GS · BAC

Earnings Call · Q4 2023 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 01-24-2025neutral

Transcript signals

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