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/LVWR
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LiveWire Group Inc

LiveWire Group Inc

LVWR
$1.20USD↓-0.42%-0.00 today

MARKET CAP

246.5M

P/E (TTM)

—

FWD P/E

—

DAY RANGE

$1 – $1

52W RANGE

$1
$6

AI Summary

Stalk
Sell NowMedium

LVWR remains entrenched in a Stage 4 decline with a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows confirming a medium-term bearish bias. Price trades below the downward-sloping 9- and 21-EMA and is currently slightly oversold, suggesting limited further downside without a corrective rally. Optimal execution is to Sell Now into rallies and rejections at the 9/21-EMA zone. Primary risks include a decisive close above these EMAs or the emergence of a stabilization base that would invalidate the bearish posture.

  • ↑Q2 revenue $9.1M (+55% YoY) driven by 386% electric unit growth.
  • ↑Company controls 76% of U.S. 50+ kW on-road electric motorcycle market.
  • ↓Q2 net loss $18.2M underscores unsustainable cash burn.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

LiveWire Group (NYSE: LVWR) is an emerging player in the electric motorcycle industry, primarily focused on manufacturing high-performance electric motorcycles. With a significant focus on sustainability, LiveWire aims to establish itself as a market leader in electric mobility. The company has recently gained traction through strategic acquisitions and product launches, positioning itself within the larger trend of the rise of electric vehicles.

Bull says

  • ↑Q2 revenue $9.1M (+55% YoY) driven by 386% electric unit growth.
  • ↑Company controls 76% of U.S. 50+ kW on-road electric motorcycle market.
  • ↑Launched S4 Honcho platform and acquired Dust Motorcycles to diversify.
  • ↑Stock rallied ~299% in two weeks, reflecting strong investor momentum.
  • ↑Offers 0.73% dividend yield, providing income amid EV volatility.
  • ↑High sensitivity to rising rates could boost performance in rate hikes.

Bear says

  • ↓Q2 net loss $18.2M underscores unsustainable cash burn.
  • ↓Share price under $1 triggered NYSE non-compliance warning.
  • ↓Negative earnings yield indicates valuation risk and lack of returns.
  • ↓Weak profitability and momentum factors suggest further downside.
  • ↓Elevated short interest reflects strong market skepticism.
  • ↓Operational inefficiencies may delay path to sustained profitability.

Earnings Call · Q1 2024 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-05-2025bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • Harley-Davidson delivered a good start to the year, in line with our expectations.
  • Looking at retail for the quarter, we are pleased with our delivery of 6% growth in North America, our largest and most important region.
  • it is positive to see customer enthusiasm for motorcycles despite this challenging environment.

Bear points

  • Consolidated revenue in the first quarter was down 3%, driven by HDMC revenue decrease of 5% and which was partially offset by HDFS revenue growth of 12%.
  • Consolidated operating income in the first quarter performed in line with our expectations and was down 29%, driven by a decline of 29% at HDMC, a decline of 8% at HDFS and an operating loss of $29 million in the LiveWire segment.
  • we continued to see the impacts of the higher interest rate environment on both consumer confidence and affordability.
Read full transcript analysis ›