The case for & against
Bull & Bear analysis
Mondelez International, Inc. (NASDAQ: MDLZ) is a global leader in the snack industry, specializing in well-known confectionery brands such as Oreo, Cadbury, and Toblerone. With operations in over 150 countries, the company channels its focus on producing a diverse range of snacks, including biscuits, chocolates, and gum. Mondelez seeks to leverage its strong distribution network across both developed and emerging markets, capitalizing on consumer demand through strategic brand innovation and expansion efforts.
Bull says
- ↑Q2 revenue reached $7.7B, up 4.4% YoY via emerging markets.
- ↑Emerging markets revenue up 6.3% YoY in India and Brazil.
- ↑Biscoff and other new launches gain early market traction.
- ↑$9B buyback and 0.41% dividend yield emphasize capital returns.
- ↑Gross margin rose to 34% despite cocoa‐cost pressure.
- ↑Health-oriented snack pivot taps growing wellness demand.
Bear says
- ↓North America volumes fell 4% YoY, driven by subdued demand.
- ↓Pricing elasticity at 0.7–0.8 risks further revenue pressures.
- ↓Inflation and Middle East conflict add incremental cost burdens.
- ↓Earnings yield and profitability factors remain negative.
- ↓Cocoa‐price volatility poses margin downside risk.
- ↓Weak consumer confidence in North America limits recovery potential.
Investment themes with MDLZ
Companies paying above-average dividends
Earnings Call · Q2 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance
Transcript signals
Bull points
- And I think that will boost revenue and top line.
- And I think you're going to see a rebound of the North American profitability, particularly in Q4.
- Our biscuit business continues to do well, excluding North America. Actually, here today, revenue is up a little bit more than 7%. And again, we project a continuation of that.
Bear points
- We have not planned for a material rebound of the category in the rest of the year, so I want to reassure you that in the guidance we have given, we have reaffirmed there is no material improvement of the U.S. general sentiment.
- the pure fact is that the major markets category-wise is at this point down volume-wise minus 3%. The category started going south in Q4 and even in Q3 last year.
- the pure fact is that the major markets category-wise is at this point down volume-wise minus 3%. The category started going south in Q4 and even in Q3 last year.