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NiSource Inc

NiSource Inc

NI
$40.65USD↓-0.44%-0.18 today

MARKET CAP

19.5B

P/E (TTM)

22.1x

FWD P/E

19.0x

DAY RANGE

$41 – $41

52W RANGE

$38
$49

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

The Post-Capitulation pattern shows exhaustion of selling and supply absorption at these extreme oversold lows, justifying a mean-reversion relief bounce. Under mean-reversion eligibility, we assign a bullish medium-term bias despite the broader downtrend. Short-term timing is unfavorable as price remains extended below declining EMAs without clear reversal. We will stalk a long entry into a shallow pullback or stabilization around the 9- and 20-day EMA zone rather than buy immediately.

  • ↑$28.6B five-year capex underpins 9–10% annual EPS growth guidance.
  • ↑Q2 revenue of $1.34B beat estimates; FY26 EPS guidance of $2.02–$2.07 aligns with consensus.
  • ↓Q2 EPS fell to $0.09; net income dropped to $45.5M, highlighting margin pressure.
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The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

NiSource Inc. (NYSE: NI) is a leading energy provider based in the United States, primarily engaged in the distribution of natural gas and electric utility services. The company serves millions of customers across multiple states and is focused on sustainable energy initiatives and infrastructure improvements. NiSource is positioned within the energy transition theme, focusing on data center growth and capital investments to modernize its services, with future plans indicating a commitment to environmental sustainability and regulatory compliance.

Bull says

  • ↑$28.6B five-year capex underpins 9–10% annual EPS growth guidance.
  • ↑Q2 revenue of $1.34B beat estimates; FY26 EPS guidance of $2.02–$2.07 aligns with consensus.
  • ↑Data center expansion diversifies operations, targeting higher long-term profitability.
  • ↑Quarterly dividend of $0.30/share (5.11% yield) sustains attractive income stream.
  • ↑Analysts maintain Moderate Buy and $50.30 PT, implying ~18.9% upside.
  • ↑Positive earnings yield and low volatility suggest defensive investment profile.

Bear says

  • ↓Q2 EPS fell to $0.09; net income dropped to $45.5M, highlighting margin pressure.
  • ↓Ambitious $28.6B capex plan raises cash flow adequacy concerns.
  • ↓Rate sensitivity may increase financing costs, pressuring profitability.
  • ↓Declining institutional ownership and weak sentiment signal reduced confidence.
  • ↓DCF suggests potential overvaluation amid weak profitability metrics.
  • ↓Negative growth and profitability factors expose vulnerability to market shifts.

Investment themes with NI

High Dividend Yield↑ +0.32%

Companies paying above-average dividends

AVGO · JPM · XOM

Earnings Call · Q1 2024 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-08-2025bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • The NiSource investment thesis is simple. We serve our customers by delivering safe and reliable energy at an affordable price.
  • our base capital plan is now comprised of a portfolio of projects projected at $16.4 billion through 2028.
Read full transcript analysis ›