The case for & against
Bull & Bear analysis
Perrigo Company plc (NYSE: PRGO) specializes in over-the-counter (OTC) health and wellness products, particularly private label and branded formulations. Operating a strategic business in both the U.S. and Europe, Perrigo is in a competitive space focused on affordable self-care solutions amidst rising consumer demand for cost-effective healthcare products. With an evolving portfolio, the company targets sustained leadership in store-brand OTC products while optimizing operational efficiency and financial stability amid market challenges.
Bull says
- ↑Earnings yield 1.38% and dividend yield 1.31% support cash returns
- ↑Book-to-price ratio 2.99 and GF Value $23.78 vs. $13.59 price imply undervaluation
- ↑Total debt cut to $3.3B via $359M divestiture strengthens the balance sheet
- ↑U.S. store-brand OTC share up 50 bps, showing resilient demand
- ↑Strategic review of infant formula segment could enhance profitability
- ↑Elevated liquidity supports obligations and opportunistic investments
Bear says
- ↓Core net sales fell 3.1% YoY to ~$1.2 B amid OTC softness
- ↓Adjusted EPS dropped to $0.46 from $0.58 last year
- ↓Leverage remains elevated at 2.18x, risking financial strain
- ↓Momentum weak with -2.70 score and short interest up 1.7%
- ↓Potential value trap if growth rank delays recovery
- ↓Negative profitability factors pressure margins
Investment themes with PRGO
Companies paying above-average dividends
Earnings Call · Q4 2023 · Mgmt. Guidance
Transcript signals
Bull points
- $2.58
- Fourth quarter adjusted earnings per share was $0.86, an increase of 14.7% year-over-year, driven by business growth, benefits from our Supply Chain Reinvention Program and HRA synergies.
- Full-year adjusted earnings per share of $2.58 increased almost 25%, driven by business growth, including benefits from Supply Chain Reinvention Program, acquisitions, and no repeating tax benefits.
Bear points
- given the cash required to implement Project Energize and infant formula investments, we will pay down $400 million in bonds due at the end of the year versus our initial thoughts to pay these bonds early, which has a negative earnings per share impact of $0.05 to our initial outlook.
- flat compared to the prior year in the second quarter and returning to year-over-year growth in the third and fourth quarters.
- organic growth excludes acquisitions, divestitures, exited product lines, and currency in both comparable periods.