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Constellation Brands Inc

Constellation Brands Inc

STZ
$122.45USD-1.10%-1.36 today

MARKET CAP

15.9B

P/E (TTM)

12.7x

FWD P/E

DAY RANGE

$122 – $126

52W RANGE

$120
$169

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

STZ remains in a clear Stage 4 decline, trading below all major moving averages with a confirmed primary continuation pattern (“Support Failure”). The recent bounce into the declining 9- and 20-period EMAs and the 50-day SMA is likely to stall, offering a structurally favorable zone for bearish entries. Execution should be deferred until a clear rejection at these EMA resistance levels confirms continued supply dominance.

  • Modelo and Corona underpin premiumization amid 4% Q1 revenue growth to $2.4 B
  • Dividend yield 0.71% plus robust earnings yield suggest relative undervaluation
  • Weak profitability factors and analyst cuts point to earnings risk
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE: STZ) is a leading beverage alcohol company specializing in a diversified portfolio of wines, beers, and spirits. The company is recognized for its premium brands such as Modelo, Corona, and Robert Mondavi Winery. Constellation is capitalizing on the rising trend towards premiumization within the beverage industry, aiming to enhance consumer engagement and brand relevance in a dynamic market environment.

Bull says

  • Modelo and Corona underpin premiumization amid 4% Q1 revenue growth to $2.4 B
  • Dividend yield 0.71% plus robust earnings yield suggest relative undervaluation
  • Corona non-alcoholic segment posted double-digit sales growth, diversifying revenue
  • Gross margin expanded to 39% in Q1; marketing investments aimed at stability
  • High liquidity and quality factors support investments in brand expansion
  • Maintained FY27 beer net-sales guidance despite dynamic consumer conditions

Bear says

  • Weak profitability factors and analyst cuts point to earnings risk
  • Operating margin dipped 10 bps YoY as SG&A spend rose
  • Rising gas prices slow discretionary demand, hurting sales momentum
  • Elevated short interest and bearish sentiment increase share-price risk
  • Execution gaps in scaling Modelo and Corona amid fierce competition
  • Weak growth factors suggest challenges in sustaining revenue expansion

Investment themes with STZ

High Dividend Yield -0.51%

Companies paying above-average dividends

AVGO · JPM · XOM

Earnings Call · Q3 2024 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 01-22-2025neutral

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