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/UMBF
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UMB Financial Corp

UMB Financial Corp

UMBF
$139.49USD+0.09%+0.12 today

MARKET CAP

10.6B

P/E (TTM)

15.2x

FWD P/E

DAY RANGE

$138 – $142

52W RANGE

$103
$153

AI Summary

Stalk
Sell NowMedium

UMBF has decisively broken its horizontal support zone near $141.50–$143.00 on strong volume, confirming a Stage 4 distribution and activating a bearish Support Failure pattern. Price remains below the rolling 9/20/50 EMAs and has been rejected at former support, which now offers resistance. With short-term momentum clearly down and structural asymmetry favoring sellers, we initiate bearish engagement on a retest of this resistance zone under the Value + EPS strategy.

  • Net income rose 26.1% YoY to $271.8 M in Q2 2026, beating expectations
  • Heartland acquisition to boost market share and deliver revenue synergies
  • Heartland integration poses execution risks that could dampen profitability
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The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

UMB Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: UMBF) operates as a diversified financial services holding company offering commercial banking, investment management, and treasury management services. It is a leading regional bank with a substantial foothold in the Midwest and Southwest markets. Recently, it has expanded its services through the acquisition of Heartland Financial, which is expected to enhance its competitive position and market share amidst an evolving financial landscape.

Bull says

  • Net income rose 26.1% YoY to $271.8 M in Q2 2026, beating expectations
  • Heartland acquisition to boost market share and deliver revenue synergies
  • Return on equity at 20.3% with core net interest margin of 3.09%
  • Loan growth annualized 12.6% in Q2 2026 indicates robust lending demand
  • High earnings yield and solid book-to-price support attractive valuation
  • Low volatility and strong quality metrics may draw institutional investors

Bear says

  • Heartland integration poses execution risks that could dampen profitability
  • Deposit competition may force higher funding costs and compress NIM
  • Dividend yield remains weak amid elevated operational and integration expenses
  • Near-zero long-term growth score suggests limited expansion potential
  • Low institutional ownership and negative interest-rate sensitivity heighten volatility
  • Geopolitical and economic uncertainty could weaken loan demand and performance

Investment themes with UMBF

High Dividend Yield -0.51%

Companies paying above-average dividends

AVGO · JPM · XOM
Regional Banks -1.16%

FLG · TCBI · ZION

Earnings Call · Q1 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 08-19-2026neutral

Transcript signals

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