Lumida
/YSS
⌘K
YSS

YSS

YSS
$7.88USD+5.77%+0.43 today

MARKET CAP

1.1B

P/E (TTM)

FWD P/E

DAY RANGE

$8 – $8

52W RANGE

$7
$45

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

YSS remains entrenched in a Stage 4 downtrend, trading consistently below its declining EMAs and SMAs. Price is hovering near recent support in mildly oversold territory but lacks exhaustion or reversal signals. The medium-term bias stays bearish under the lower-high, lower-low continuation structure, while short-term timing is neutral. Execution should be deferred until a clear rejection at the 9/20 EMAs confirms further downward momentum.

  • Q1 revenue $116M (+9% YoY) and backlog $642M (+18%) drive visibility.
  • FY26 guide of $545–595M with 70% of revenue committed under existing government deals.
  • Gross margin slid to 19% (–4pp YoY) and adjusted EBITDA was –$3.6M.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

York Space Systems, Inc. (NYSE: YSS) is a pioneering player in the aerospace sector, specializing in the design and manufacturing of small satellite systems for both commercial and government applications. The company has established a strong position by capitalizing on the growing demand in the national security space sector, particularly amid rising geopolitical tensions. Its strategy of vertical integration through key acquisitions places it as a formidable competitor within an evolving and expanding market.

Bull says

  • Q1 revenue $116M (+9% YoY) and backlog $642M (+18%) drive visibility.
  • FY26 guide of $545–595M with 70% of revenue committed under existing government deals.
  • Vertical integration via Allspace and Orbeon lifts efficiency and reduces supply-chain risk.
  • Strong liquidity supports capex, R&D and operational resilience.
  • Rising defense spending amid geopolitical tensions fuels satellite demand.
  • High short interest could spark a short-covering rally if sentiment turns positive.

Bear says

  • Gross margin slid to 19% (–4pp YoY) and adjusted EBITDA was –$3.6M.
  • Negative earnings revisions and weak profitability factor weigh on outlook.
  • Ongoing supply-chain disruptions delay material revenue into Q3/Q4.
  • High share volatility and investor skepticism risk continued selling pressure.
  • Low institutional ownership limits buy-side support amid uneven results.
  • Competition from SpaceX, Northrop and Lockheed threatens market share.

Earnings Call · Q4 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 08-18-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • we just won a new Constellation 4M class for a commercial customer, which adds to the backlog and is the first constellation of many planned for this customer.
  • bullish
  • we're in a pretty bullish position with our performance and our ability that, you know, just between IPO and now we've already added quite a bit more to the backlog.

Bear points

  • Loss per share was $0.89 for the year.
Read full transcript analysis ›