Lumida
/AA
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Alcoa Corp

Alcoa Corp

AA
$48.26USD-0.08%-0.04 today

MARKET CAP

12.7B

P/E (TTM)

10.1x

FWD P/E

7.3x

DAY RANGE

$48 – $49

52W RANGE

$31
$84

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

AA exhibits a bearish medium-term posture in a presumed Stage 4 distribution, with price below declining EMAs and resistance at 9/20 EMAs. The long-term downtrend remains intact, reinforced by a substantial drop from the 52-week high and price under the 200-day SMA. Short-term consolidation at the $48.26 support zone lacks a decisive breakdown or recovery, and momentum indicators show limited downside exhaustion. Given the unfavorable timing and pending support break, deferred bearish execution is preferred.

  • Revenue up 24% YoY to $4B, driven by higher metal prices.
  • Gallium facility at Wagerup to produce 100 t/year, diversifies revenue.
  • Alumina output guidance lowered to 9.5–9.6 Mt amid Pinjar disruptions.
Full analysis →
STATEMENT·Income statement
USD · GAAP
METRICFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025TREND
Sales, Adj.$12.2B$12.5B$10.6B$11.9B$12.8B
YoY %+30.9%+2.5%-15.3%+12.7%+7.9%
P / Sales0.9x0.6x0.6x0.7x1.1x
EV / Sales1.5x1.2x1.3x1.3x1.7x
Gross Profit, Adj.$3.0B$2.2B$738.0M$1.9B$2.2B
YoY %+127.7%-25.3%-67.0%+150.8%+17.4%
Margin %24.7%18.0%7.0%15.6%16.9%
EV / Gross Profit6.0x6.6x18.0x8.6x10.2x
EBITDA, Adj.$2.7B$2.0B$473.0M$1.5B$1.9B
YoY %+152.9%-26.9%-76.4%+221.1%+21.8%
Margin %22.6%16.1%4.5%12.8%14.4%
EV / EBITDA6.6x7.4x28.1x10.4x12.0x
EBIT$949.0M$690.0M$-343.0M$536.0M$165.0M
YoY %+190.2%-27.3%-149.7%+256.3%-69.2%
Margin %7.8%5.5%-3.3%4.5%1.3%
EV / EBIT19.0x21.6x-38.8x29.6x134.6x
Net Income$429.0M$-123.0M$-651.0M$60.0M$1.2B
YoY %+352.4%-128.7%-429.3%+109.2%+1828.3%
Net Margin3.5%-1.0%-6.2%0.5%9.0%
EPS (GAAP)$2.26-$0.68-$3.65$0.26$4.37
YoY %+348.4%-130.1%-436.8%+107.1%+1580.8%