Lumida
/ARR
⌘K
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc

ARR
$15.80USD↓-0.19%-0.03 today

MARKET CAP

2.2B

P/E (TTM)

7.2x

FWD P/E

—

DAY RANGE

$16 – $16

52W RANGE

$14
$19

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

ARR sits in a pronounced Stage 4 downtrend, having broken below key horizontal support and fallen below all major EMAs on rising volume. The medium-term bias remains bearish, but price is extended and approaching extreme oversold levels, so execution should be deferred into a relief rally up into the declining 9- and 20-day EMA cluster around mid-16s. A sustained reclaim above these EMAs on strong volume would invalidate the bearish bias.

  • ↑Monthly $0.24 payout equates to an 18.2% annual dividend yield
  • ↑Q2 2026 revenue hit $113.3 M with EPS of $0.72
  • ↓Rising rates could force cuts to the 18.2% dividend
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) is an externally managed mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) primarily involved in investing in U.S. Agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). The company is particularly engaged in acquiring different forms of RMBS, including fixed-rate and adjustable-rate securities. Its position in the value chain involves providing investors with access to residential mortgages while generating long-term shareholder value through disciplined investment strategies. ARR operates in a challenging environment marked by rising interest rates, impacting the broader mortgage REIT sector.

Bull says

  • ↑Monthly $0.24 payout equates to an 18.2% annual dividend yield
  • ↑Q2 2026 revenue hit $113.3 M with EPS of $0.72
  • ↑Book value rose to $17.53, underscoring asset strength
  • ↑High book-to-price ratio signals attractive valuation levels
  • ↑Management cites disciplined investing and 4.8% total Q2 return
  • ↑Diverse mix of fixed and adjustable RMBS mitigates rate risk

Bear says

  • ↓Rising rates could force cuts to the 18.2% dividend
  • ↓Negative earnings yield indicates challenges in generating positive returns
  • ↓High short interest underscores strong investor skepticism
  • ↓Elevated sensitivity to interest rates poses performance headwinds
  • ↓Low quality metrics suggest underlying balance sheet pressures
  • ↓High volatility risk may amplify share price swings

Investment themes with ARR

Mortgage REITs↓ -0.79%

NLY · AGNC · STWD

Earnings Call · Q2 2023 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 09-12-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • The business continues to execute on its goal of adding scale and diversity to its portfolio, having now added more than 15 gigawatts of wind, solar, and storage-based development projects to its portfolio. These span most of the U.S. power regions. This puts us well ahead of where we imagined our progress to be at this stage of the company's development.
  • Moreover, through the combination of greater awareness of the royalty financing model and more difficult conditions for competing forms of financing such as debt and equity, we are seeing a strong uptick in deal origination activity.
  • Revenue for the first half of 23 was $4 million versus $2.4 million in 2022. Revenues were subject to continued soft merchant prices during Q2, but we've seen an uptick in merchant prices in recent weeks with higher summer temperatures and increased power demand.

Bear points

  • interconnection backlogs continue to worsen, with MISO being the most recent regional transmission organization to announce a moratorium on new applications as they undertake a restructuring and reorganization process similar to what PJM has undergone over the last several years. Development timelines for everyone have been pushed to the right. Moreover, the cost of both equity and debt financing has increased materially over the last year.
Read full transcript analysis ›