Lumida
/BXMT
⌘K
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc

BXMT
$13.35USD-0.96%-0.13 today

MARKET CAP

2.3B

P/E (TTM)

22.3x

FWD P/E

DAY RANGE

$13 – $14

52W RANGE

$13
$21

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

BXMT’s Post-Capitulation cluster shows selling exhaustion and sets up a tactical mean-reversion entry. Medium-term bias is bullish via mean-reversion eligibility, but short-term timing is unfavorable due to rejection at the 20-day EMA. We will stalk for a pullback into the $13.35–$13.00 support zone and look for clear absorption and reclaim of the 20-day EMA before buying, while a decisive close below the early-August capitulation low on expanding volume invalidates the setup.

  • Dividend yield of 3.66% fully covered by $0.31 distributable EPS
  • Office exposure cut from 36% to 21%; multifamily & industrial assets now ~50%
  • High leverage ratio elevates refinancing risk amid rising rates
Full analysis →
STATEMENT·Income statement
USD · GAAP
METRICFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025TREND
Sales, Adj.$854.7M$1.3B$2.0B$1.8B$1.5B
YoY %+9.6%+56.7%+52.5%-12.4%-13.8%
P / Sales5.4x2.7x1.8x1.7x2.1x
EV / Sales25.9x18.1x11.3x10.5x12.5x
Gross Profit, Adj.$514.5M$628.0M$675.3M$498.5M$552.8M
YoY %+19.0%+22.1%+7.5%-26.2%+10.9%
Margin %60.2%46.9%33.1%27.9%35.9%
EV / Gross Profit43.1x38.5x34.1x37.5x34.9x
EBITDA, Adj.$422.7M$254.1M$255.3M$-196.7M$105.0M
YoY %+37.1%-39.9%+0.5%-177.1%+153.4%
Margin %49.5%19.0%12.5%-11.0%6.8%
EV / EBITDA52.5x95.2x90.1x-95.1x183.9x
EBIT$422.7M$254.1M$255.3M$-196.7M$105.0M
YoY %+37.1%-39.9%+0.5%-177.1%+153.4%
Margin %49.5%19.0%12.5%-11.0%6.8%
EV / EBIT52.5x95.2x90.1x-95.1x183.9x
Net Income$419.2M$248.6M$246.6M$-204.1M$109.6M
YoY %+204.5%-40.7%-0.8%-182.8%+153.7%
Net Margin49.0%18.6%12.1%-11.4%7.1%
EPS (GAAP)$2.77$1.46$1.43-$1.17$0.64
YoY %+185.6%-47.3%-2.1%-181.8%+154.7%