Lumida
/CAKE
⌘K
Cheesecake Factory Inc

Cheesecake Factory Inc

CAKE
$102.70USD+1.52%+1.54 today

MARKET CAP

5.1B

P/E (TTM)

30.0x

FWD P/E

DAY RANGE

$100 – $103

52W RANGE

$43
$118

AI Summary

Stalk
Sell NowMedium

CAKE is in a Stage 4 declining phase after breaking key support around the August low near ~102, forming a clear lower-highs/lower-lows sequence and confirming medium-term bearish structure while the long-term uptrend remains intact above the 200-day SMA. Short-term timing shows price being rejected at the declining 9-/20-day EMAs with sustained selling pressure, warranting a Sell Now approach on rallies into the EMA zone. Key risks include the 50-day SMA around ~99 absorbing selling interest and oversold RSI prompting relief bounces that could delay further declines.

  • Q2 revenue $1B (+7% YoY); targeting ~$4B in fiscal 2026 sales.
  • Comparable sales grew 5.8% in Q2, signaling strong demand.
  • Negative earnings yield and high P/E point to overvaluation.
Full analysis →
STATEMENT·Income statement
USD · GAAP
METRICFY 2021FY 2023FY 2024FY 2024FY 2025TREND
Sales, Adj.$2.9B$3.3B$3.6B$3.6B$3.8B
YoY %+47.6%+12.8%+4.1%+4.1%+4.7%
P / Sales0.7x0.5x0.6x0.6x0.6x
EV / Sales1.4x1.2x1.4x1.4x1.3x
Gross Profit, Adj.$2.3B$2.5B$2.8B$2.8B$2.9B
YoY %+49.2%+9.6%+5.3%+5.3%+5.9%
Margin %77.7%75.4%77.5%77.5%78.3%
EV / Gross Profit1.8x1.6x1.7x1.7x1.7x
EBITDA, Adj.$209.6M$176.1M$295.8M$295.8M$333.8M
YoY %+716.7%-16.0%+21.8%+21.8%+12.8%
Margin %7.2%5.3%8.3%8.3%8.9%
EV / EBITDA20.0x22.7x16.4x16.4x15.1x
EBIT$82.3M$38.9M$178.3M$178.3M$187.3M
YoY %+123.9%-52.7%+64.2%+64.2%+5.0%
Margin %2.8%1.2%5.0%5.0%5.0%
EV / EBIT51.0x102.7x27.1x27.1x26.9x
Net Income$49.1M$43.1M$156.8M$156.8M$148.4M
YoY %+117.7%-12.2%+54.7%+54.7%-5.3%
Net Margin1.7%1.3%4.4%4.4%4.0%
EPS (GAAP)$1.01$0.86$3.20$3.20$3.06
YoY %+116.0%-14.9%+54.6%+54.6%-4.4%