Lumida
/HGV
⌘K
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc

HGV
$39.47USD+0.69%+0.27 today

MARKET CAP

3.1B

P/E (TTM)

21.3x

FWD P/E

DAY RANGE

$39 – $40

52W RANGE

$37
$55

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

HGV has broken key support and remains below all major moving averages, confirming a medium-term downtrend reinforced by an active Support Failure pattern. While extreme oversold conditions caution against immediate selling at current lows, the medium-term bias stays bearish. We will defer execution, trimming positions into rallies toward former support around the $41 level and near the 9/20 EMA and 50 EMA, consistent with the Free Cash Flow + Buybacks strategy.

  • Earnings yield of 1.77 indicates strong value potential
  • HEV MAX memberships grew 35% YoY, boosting customer pipeline
  • Contract sales fell 3% to $810 M, signaling moderating demand
Full analysis →
STATEMENT·Income statement
USD · GAAP
METRICFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025TREND
Sales, Adj.$2.3B$3.8B$4.0B$5.0B$5.0B
YoY %+161.2%+64.2%+3.7%+25.2%+1.3%
P / Sales2.3x1.2x1.2x0.8x0.8x
EV / Sales4.6x2.7x2.7x2.7x2.8x
Gross Profit, Adj.$1.9B$2.4B$2.5B$3.1B$3.1B
YoY %+1801.0%+26.1%+3.7%+23.6%+1.0%
Margin %82.2%63.1%63.1%62.3%62.1%
EV / Gross Profit5.7x4.2x4.2x4.3x4.5x
EBITDA, Adj.$624.0M$872.0M$829.0M$728.0M$736.0M
YoY %+6833.3%+39.7%-4.9%-12.2%+1.1%
Margin %26.7%22.7%20.8%14.6%14.6%
EV / EBITDA17.4x11.7x12.8x18.2x19.0x
EBIT$390.0M$611.0M$613.0M$458.0M$460.0M
YoY %+259.2%+56.7%+0.3%-25.3%+0.4%
Margin %16.7%15.9%15.4%9.2%9.1%
EV / EBIT27.8x16.7x17.3x28.9x30.3x
Net Income$176.0M$352.0M$313.0M$47.0M$81.0M
YoY %+187.6%+100.0%-11.1%-85.0%+72.3%
Net Margin7.5%9.2%7.9%0.9%1.6%
EPS (GAAP)$1.75$2.93$2.80$0.45$0.89
YoY %+174.2%+67.4%-4.4%-83.9%+97.8%