Hillman Solutions Corp

The downtrend remains structurally intact after the decisive support failure, with price extended below key EMAs and elevated selling volume confirming bearish momentum. Primary support around the mid 7’s has flipped to resistance, making rallies into that zone optimal sell opportunities. Medium-term bias is firmly bearish under Stage 4 continuation, and oversold conditions have so far failed to produce a meaningful bounce. We recommend immediate sell-side engagement on any upticks into the broken support cluster.

• ↑Q4 2025 net sales $1.552B (+5.4% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA $275.3M (+13.9%)
• ↑Cambridge acquisition adds ~$15M sales and targets a $3B pro distribution market
• ↓Existing home sales (~4.06M) below 5M avg, limiting hardware demand