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/MTB
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M&T Bank Corp

M&T Bank Corp

MTB
$239.83USD+0.34%+0.81 today

MARKET CAP

34.6B

P/E (TTM)

14.1x

FWD P/E

DAY RANGE

$237 – $241

52W RANGE

$175
$256

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

MTB is in a medium-term corrective downtrend after peaking near recent highs, trading below declining short- and intermediate-term EMAs. Price has pulled back into the 9/20 EMA cluster without a clear rejection, signaling deferment of bearish execution until failure at resistance. Long-term uptrend remains intact above the 200 DMA, but medium-term weakness and lower-high/lower-low structure dominates. Oversold conditions may temper selling, but no reversal evidence has emerged. We will look for price to reject the 20/50 EMA confluence before engaging downside.

  • Q2 EPS $5.35 beats $4.66; revenue $2.53B +5.7% YoY.
  • 2026 guidance: high 3.6% NIM, $2.8B–$2.85B non-interest income.
  • Profitability score negative, signaling pressure converting revenue to profits.
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The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

M&T Bank Corporation (NYSE: MTB) is a leading regional bank in the United States, primarily serving the northeastern states. The bank specializes in community banking services, offering a range of financial products, including loans, mortgages, and investment services. As a well-established player in the banking sector, M&T Bank benefits from strong customer relationships and a growing market share, particularly in net interest income driven by strategic acquisitions and improvements in operational efficiency. Its commitment to community values ties into the rising focus on Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) initiatives in the financial services industry.

Bull says

  • Q2 EPS $5.35 beats $4.66; revenue $2.53B +5.7% YoY.
  • 2026 guidance: high 3.6% NIM, $2.8B–$2.85B non-interest income.
  • Loan growth driven by tech investments and strategic acquisitions.
  • Dividend yield 0.29% appeals to income-focused investors.
  • Stock up ~20% past 3 months, indicating strong momentum.
  • Strong earnings yield, effective leverage management, low volatility risk.

Bear says

  • Profitability score negative, signaling pressure converting revenue to profits.
  • Negative growth and revision factors point to stagnant revenue expansion.
  • CECL accounting may boost loan loss provisions, raising costs.
  • Adverse rate shifts could erode net interest income.
  • Elevated short interest reflects investor skepticism and potential volatility.
  • Competitive and regulatory pressures may compress future margins.

Investment themes with MTB

High Dividend Yield -0.51%

Companies paying above-average dividends

AVGO · JPM · XOM
Buybacks -0.29%

Companies repurchasing their own shares

C · JCI · WFC
Large Banks -0.26%

MS · GS · BAC
Regional Banks -1.16%

FLG · TCBI · ZION

Earnings Call · Q4 2023 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 01-26-2025neutral

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