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/OZK
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Bank Ozk

Bank Ozk

OZK
$49.09USD+0.66%+0.32 today

MARKET CAP

5.6B

P/E (TTM)

8.0x

FWD P/E

8.4x

DAY RANGE

$48 – $49

52W RANGE

$42
$53

AI Summary

Stalk
Sell NowMedium

A clear support failure at the prior horizontal zone, aligned with EMAs rolling over, confirms OZK is in a Stage 4 decline with a bearish medium-term bias. Short-term momentum is negative under the 9- and 20-day EMAs, favoring execution now on any rally into broken support/EMA resistance. We will sell into the current breakdown, focusing on rejections at the 9/20 EMA zone near the old support level.

  • Earnings yield ~1.8% and book-to-price ratio 1.45 indicate undervaluation.
  • CIB segment expanded to >$7B, set to match real-estate book next year.
  • Special mention loan volumes climbed, raising credit risk concerns.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Bank OZK (NASDAQ: OZK) is a regional bank headquartered in Arkansas, specializing in commercial banking services with a diversified portfolio through its Corporate and Institutional Banking (CIB) and Real Estate Specialty Group (RESG). The bank is optimizing its growth by moving away from high exposure to real estate and focusing on expanding its CIB offerings, indicating its commitment to adapting to market trends and enhancing risk-adjusted returns.

Bull says

  • Earnings yield ~1.8% and book-to-price ratio 1.45 indicate undervaluation.
  • CIB segment expanded to >$7B, set to match real-estate book next year.
  • Utilized $175M of $200M buyback at below tangible book value.
  • Q2 revenue +10% YoY to $205M driven by CIB loan growth.
  • Dividend yield ~0.5% and robust liquidity support income.
  • Mid-single-digit loan growth guidance shows stable expansion.

Bear says

  • Special mention loan volumes climbed, raising credit risk concerns.
  • RESG repayments near $3B restrict net loan growth.
  • Weak profitability factors under pressure from prepayment waves.
  • Competitive deposit costs and rising taxes may compress NIM.
  • Low momentum and hedge fund ownership weigh on sentiment.
  • Regulatory and real-estate policy shifts heighten execution risk.

Investment themes with OZK

High Dividend Yield -0.51%

Companies paying above-average dividends

AVGO · JPM · XOM
Regional Banks -1.16%

FLG · TCBI · ZION

Earnings Call · Q1 2024 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 04-24-2025neutral

Transcript signals

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