United Parcel Service Inc

UPS has broken below key EMAs and SMAs, confirming a distribution phase with sellers firmly in control. The medium- and long-term directional bias is bearish, while short-term conditions are oversold and extended. Optimal execution is to trim positions into a relief rally into the 9-/20-/50-EMA zone around 101.4–105.0, as mean-reversion pressure is likely to limit further decline.

• ↑Q2'26 revenue reached $22.8B (+7.6% YoY) with operating profit of $2.1B (9.2% margin).
• ↑Amazon glide-down will remove 1M packages/day in 2026, boosting revenue quality.
• ↓Negative growth trend persists; Amazon glide-down set to pressure Q1 volumes and revenues.